Ukraine
- Prahok
- I Am Losing It All to the Internet
- Reactions: 226
- Posts: 1437
- Joined: Tue Sep 06, 2011 4:33 pm
End of Month 24 of the Russo-Ukrainian War, 2-years since the tanks rolled in, and the Russian Winter offensive continues to grind on. Ukraine dismissed General Valerii Zaluzhnyi from the position of Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and replaced him with General Oleksandr Syrskyi.
In the West, North and North East there were no changes on the ground.
In Luhansk, Russia made some minor gains along the front, however in general the situation is static.
In Donetsk, Russia finally took the town of Avdiivka at great cost to both sides. There was little movement in the rest of the region.
In Zaporizhzhia, there were no material changes to the front.
In Kherson, there were no material changes to the front
In the Black Sea, the Ukrainians sunk the Russian missile corvette Ivanovets off the coast of Crimea, using sea drones. The Ukrainians later sunk the large Russian landing ship Cesar Kunikov using the same method.
In Russia an Il-76 was shot-down over Belgorod, with both sides offering different versions as to the plane’s cargo.
In the West, North and North East there were no changes on the ground.
In Luhansk, Russia made some minor gains along the front, however in general the situation is static.
In Donetsk, Russia finally took the town of Avdiivka at great cost to both sides. There was little movement in the rest of the region.
In Zaporizhzhia, there were no material changes to the front.
In Kherson, there were no material changes to the front
In the Black Sea, the Ukrainians sunk the Russian missile corvette Ivanovets off the coast of Crimea, using sea drones. The Ukrainians later sunk the large Russian landing ship Cesar Kunikov using the same method.
In Russia an Il-76 was shot-down over Belgorod, with both sides offering different versions as to the plane’s cargo.
2
2
Although Kyiv claims that the Russian Air-Space Force (VKS) has greatly decreased the number of strikes by its Su-24s and Su-34 that are releasing glide bombs (from ‘over 100’ to ‘between 50 and 60’ glide bombs a day), the Russians do maintain a steady sortie rate. For example, multiple operations by up to six low-flying Su-25s can be monitored every day. Given the recent re-deployment of Su-34s of the 4th Centre for Combat Application (essentially: the fighter-weapons school of the VKS) to bases closer to the frontline, one must expect the Russians to study reasons for their recent spate of losses, develop new tactics, prepare additional new weapons (foremost the Kh-36 Grom, for example), and then return in force.
Indeed, the Russian SEAD-effort went on, the last few days and, between others, resulted in destruction of most of one of remaining Ukrainian S-300 SAM-sites.
The last night’s ‘unusually big’ strike by some 42 Shaheds sent against targets deeper inside Ukraine, might be an attempt to force the (Ukr) PSU to withdraw some of its long-range SAMs from the frontline, and thus improve protection of objects deeper in the rear. Ukrainians claimed 38 of these as shot down.
After months of claiming ‘destroyed HIMARS’, while providing no evidence at all, the Russians have managed to destroy the first Ukrainian M142 HIMARS launcher. Apparently, this was hit some 40km behind the frontlines, and then by an Iskander-M (quasi-)ballistic missile. Ukrainian contacts have confirmed the death of the crew.
Indeed, the Russians went on to claim another M142 HIMARS launcher- and that by their BM-30 Smerch-S multiple rocket launcher calibre 300mm: problem is that the video is unclear in regards of what exactly was targeted in that case.
In turn, Ukrainians claimed the destruction of at least one BM-27 multiple rocket launcher in the Polohy area.
***
BATTLE OF DONBASS
Kupyansk-Svatove… positional battles.
Kremina… back-and-forth-fighting for positions in the Terny area…
Bakhmut… offensive operations of the (RU) 98th VDV Division and the 11th VDV Brigade have now been re-focused entirely on Ivanivske. These two units have spent most of their offensive capability, but their command is still feeding them with additional mobik-battalions (reservists). The Russians do have positions along the eastern side of the village and are trying to push into the centre. Problem: the Ukrainian group of forces deployed in this area appears to have started receiving artillery shells.
South of Bakhmut, and north of Klishchivka: the arrival of artillery ammunition has helped Ukrainians a lot in repelling a big attack by the (re-re-built… for XYth time) 4th Motor Rifle Brigade (former LPR) and few other units, two nights ago. In turn, this Russian assault came atop of some 20+ attacks by FPV drones and numerous air strikes. Means: remains an area worth monitoring.
Avdiivka-Shakhtarsk…
Generally, the last few days the Russian onslaught in this area came to a standstill. Of course, the fighting is still going on and the Russians are assaulting, but – with exception of two areas, they’re at least as busy digging trenches. Berdychi, Semenivk, and Orlivka have been hit by some 30-40 glide bombs, the last 4-5 days.
Berdychi… is held by the 47th Mech, which repelled all the Russian assaults.
Orlivka… after the (UKR)3rd Assault kicked the Russians out in a high loop, the (UKR) 25th Airborne took over the defences of this village. This, however, was heavily hit by the Russian glide bombs. Now, some say, the Russians are meanwhile holding the eastern side of the village, but I’m not convinced. To me it appears they’re doing something much more logical: trying to advance along the two lakes south of Orlivka. Where they can find at least some cover thanks to vegetation. There, they seem to have wedged themselves all the way to the third such lake, the Zoryanskyy Stavok, south-west of the village.
Tonenke… the (UKR)53rd Mech seem to have improved its performance, the last few days, but: the Russian 1st Motor Rifle did mange to entrench itself in the south-eastern-most corner of this village. Tonenke is of crucial importance for the defences of Orlivka, too: if it falls, the Russians are going to have it far easier to attack from the south.
South of Tonenke, the Russians are trying to push in direction of Pervomaiske, too. So far, without much success. Not really sure what are they actually trying to do there: the the point of view of their Group of Forces Tsentr, that’s a ‘dissipation of forces’, and thus against their own military doctrine.
South of Mariinka..
Pobieda… (UKR) 33rd Mech is (still) holding well, but the Russians are meanwhile assaulting not only from the east, but from the north, too.
Novomykhailivka.. defended by the (UKR) 79th Airborne… This is the area of most fierce Russian assaults of the last few days. I’m not really sure the (RU) 155th Naval Infantry has entrenched itself in the eastern side of the village, and on the local cemetery, as most of war-mappers are showing. I am sure that their assault groups are regularly capable of reaching these, too. Sounds like ‘nit-picking’, but is a significant difference… The Russians are all the while glide-bombing the village of Konstinatynivka, west of Novomykhailivka.
‘Death March’ of another of (RU) 155th’s assault groups, as seen on eastern approaches to Novomykhailivka.
Southern Zaporizhzhya
Robotyne… the (RU) 42nd Motor Rifle Division has launched one more attempt to reach southern Robotyne, some three days ago, but this ended in another defeat and ever since the situation is quiet.
- Tom Cooper
Indeed, the Russian SEAD-effort went on, the last few days and, between others, resulted in destruction of most of one of remaining Ukrainian S-300 SAM-sites.
The last night’s ‘unusually big’ strike by some 42 Shaheds sent against targets deeper inside Ukraine, might be an attempt to force the (Ukr) PSU to withdraw some of its long-range SAMs from the frontline, and thus improve protection of objects deeper in the rear. Ukrainians claimed 38 of these as shot down.
After months of claiming ‘destroyed HIMARS’, while providing no evidence at all, the Russians have managed to destroy the first Ukrainian M142 HIMARS launcher. Apparently, this was hit some 40km behind the frontlines, and then by an Iskander-M (quasi-)ballistic missile. Ukrainian contacts have confirmed the death of the crew.
Indeed, the Russians went on to claim another M142 HIMARS launcher- and that by their BM-30 Smerch-S multiple rocket launcher calibre 300mm: problem is that the video is unclear in regards of what exactly was targeted in that case.
In turn, Ukrainians claimed the destruction of at least one BM-27 multiple rocket launcher in the Polohy area.
***
BATTLE OF DONBASS
Kupyansk-Svatove… positional battles.
Kremina… back-and-forth-fighting for positions in the Terny area…
Bakhmut… offensive operations of the (RU) 98th VDV Division and the 11th VDV Brigade have now been re-focused entirely on Ivanivske. These two units have spent most of their offensive capability, but their command is still feeding them with additional mobik-battalions (reservists). The Russians do have positions along the eastern side of the village and are trying to push into the centre. Problem: the Ukrainian group of forces deployed in this area appears to have started receiving artillery shells.
South of Bakhmut, and north of Klishchivka: the arrival of artillery ammunition has helped Ukrainians a lot in repelling a big attack by the (re-re-built… for XYth time) 4th Motor Rifle Brigade (former LPR) and few other units, two nights ago. In turn, this Russian assault came atop of some 20+ attacks by FPV drones and numerous air strikes. Means: remains an area worth monitoring.
Avdiivka-Shakhtarsk…
Generally, the last few days the Russian onslaught in this area came to a standstill. Of course, the fighting is still going on and the Russians are assaulting, but – with exception of two areas, they’re at least as busy digging trenches. Berdychi, Semenivk, and Orlivka have been hit by some 30-40 glide bombs, the last 4-5 days.
Berdychi… is held by the 47th Mech, which repelled all the Russian assaults.
Orlivka… after the (UKR)3rd Assault kicked the Russians out in a high loop, the (UKR) 25th Airborne took over the defences of this village. This, however, was heavily hit by the Russian glide bombs. Now, some say, the Russians are meanwhile holding the eastern side of the village, but I’m not convinced. To me it appears they’re doing something much more logical: trying to advance along the two lakes south of Orlivka. Where they can find at least some cover thanks to vegetation. There, they seem to have wedged themselves all the way to the third such lake, the Zoryanskyy Stavok, south-west of the village.
Tonenke… the (UKR)53rd Mech seem to have improved its performance, the last few days, but: the Russian 1st Motor Rifle did mange to entrench itself in the south-eastern-most corner of this village. Tonenke is of crucial importance for the defences of Orlivka, too: if it falls, the Russians are going to have it far easier to attack from the south.
South of Tonenke, the Russians are trying to push in direction of Pervomaiske, too. So far, without much success. Not really sure what are they actually trying to do there: the the point of view of their Group of Forces Tsentr, that’s a ‘dissipation of forces’, and thus against their own military doctrine.
South of Mariinka..
Pobieda… (UKR) 33rd Mech is (still) holding well, but the Russians are meanwhile assaulting not only from the east, but from the north, too.
Novomykhailivka.. defended by the (UKR) 79th Airborne… This is the area of most fierce Russian assaults of the last few days. I’m not really sure the (RU) 155th Naval Infantry has entrenched itself in the eastern side of the village, and on the local cemetery, as most of war-mappers are showing. I am sure that their assault groups are regularly capable of reaching these, too. Sounds like ‘nit-picking’, but is a significant difference… The Russians are all the while glide-bombing the village of Konstinatynivka, west of Novomykhailivka.
‘Death March’ of another of (RU) 155th’s assault groups, as seen on eastern approaches to Novomykhailivka.
Southern Zaporizhzhya
Robotyne… the (RU) 42nd Motor Rifle Division has launched one more attempt to reach southern Robotyne, some three days ago, but this ended in another defeat and ever since the situation is quiet.
- Tom Cooper
Ukraine's position is not sustainable without major input from other countries and that's not going to happen, other than the random stalled arms shipment.
How long will it drag out?, hard to say though if Putin takes out Zelensky then I would expect Ukraine to fold almost immediately.
If I were Zelensky, I'd be getting the wife and kids out of Dodge..
How long will it drag out?, hard to say though if Putin takes out Zelensky then I would expect Ukraine to fold almost immediately.
If I were Zelensky, I'd be getting the wife and kids out of Dodge..
- Prahok
- I Am Losing It All to the Internet
- Reactions: 226
- Posts: 1437
- Joined: Tue Sep 06, 2011 4:33 pm
Certainly the input from the US has been dogged by domestic politics, however arms shipments from other nations continues.Dylan Quint wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 8:46 amUkraine's position is not sustainable without major input from other countries and that's not going to happen, other than the random stalled arms shipment.
How long will it drag out?, hard to say though if Putin takes out Zelensky then I would expect Ukraine to fold almost immediately.
If I were Zelensky, I'd be getting the wife and kids out of Dodge..
One critical area is that of ammunition production, which is a limiting factor. European arms manufacturers are ramping up production, but not at the rated Ukraine requires. That may require US production to join the fray, though production from Asia could also fill this gap (notably South Korea and Japan).
An interesting aside is that the Russo-Ukraine War coupled with reticence from US Congress to support Ukraine is resulting in a resurgence in European arms industry. France is now the world's second largest arms exporter (just passing Russia).
https://www.euronews.com/business/2024/ ... est-export
As for Zelensky, his demise would possibly result in Zaluzhnyi stepping into the political arena and the show would roll on.
Russian security forces are now behaving like Wagner mercenaries. They are torturing terrorist suspects and are happy to make a media spectacle out of the sordid business. At least the CIA has the decency to only torture terror suspects in black sites. Journalists actually have to dig for scandalous details.
Medvedev is talking about targeting the families of terrorists. That sounds like collective punishment to me.
It's further evidence of the erosion of rule of law and due process in Russia.
Medvedev is talking about targeting the families of terrorists. That sounds like collective punishment to me.
It's further evidence of the erosion of rule of law and due process in Russia.
- Hot_Pink_Urinal_Mint
- I need professional help
- Reactions: 74
- Posts: 1044
- Joined: Tue Nov 10, 2009 3:19 pm
- Location: Right behind you
Gramsci never actually said that - it’s a misinterpretation of a bad translation into French from his original Italian.
He said:
“La crisi consiste appunto nel fatto che il vecchio muore e il nuovo non può nascere: in questo interregno si verificano i fenomeni morbosi piú svariati.”
The best translation directly to English would be:
“The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear.”
Of course, I’m being quite literal here. Perhaps overly so. But it got me wonder what ‘fenomeni morbisi’ he might mean.
Does he mean horrible situations like revolution or anarchy or famine or wars? Or does he mean horrible monstrous regimes, like Russia currently and - the contrarians will retort - the US or China. Or does he mean people: the Putins or Trump or Boris Johnson or farage.
Or is it all bollocks. Like most Marxist thinkers he happily leaves it vague enough to prove himself right, whatever happens. Because let’s face it has there EVER been a time in history when we haven’t had either of those three phenomena ?
Does he mean horrible situations like revolution or anarchy or famine or wars? Or does he mean horrible monstrous regimes, like Russia currently and - the contrarians will retort - the US or China. Or does he mean people: the Putins or Trump or Boris Johnson or farage.
Or is it all bollocks. Like most Marxist thinkers he happily leaves it vague enough to prove himself right, whatever happens. Because let’s face it has there EVER been a time in history when we haven’t had either of those three phenomena ?
- Hot_Pink_Urinal_Mint
- I need professional help
- Reactions: 74
- Posts: 1044
- Joined: Tue Nov 10, 2009 3:19 pm
- Location: Right behind you
I'm not sure but I thought it was a Gramsci translation from Slavoj Žižek. My neighbours are Italian, I will ask them what they think it means.Vespasian wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 12:34 pm
Gramsci never actually said that - it’s a misinterpretation of a bad translation into French from his original Italian.
He said:
“La crisi consiste appunto nel fatto che il vecchio muore e il nuovo non può nascere: in questo interregno si verificano i fenomeni morbosi piú svariati.”
The best translation directly to English would be:
“The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear.”
-
- I live above an internet cafe
- Reactions: 19
- Posts: 247
- Joined: Sun Oct 29, 2023 7:39 am
Since when was “interregnum” a word in the English language?Vespasian wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 12:34 pmGramsci never actually said that - it’s a misinterpretation of a bad translation into French from his original Italian.
He said:
“La crisi consiste appunto nel fatto che il vecchio muore e il nuovo non può nascere: in questo interregno si verificano i fenomeni morbosi piú svariati.”
The best translation directly to English would be:
“The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear.”
- Mike Farce
- I have Cheap Mobile Internet
- Reactions: 74
- Posts: 445
- Joined: Sat Feb 18, 2023 11:36 pm
Since whenever they started using it.Chroy Changvarite wrote: ↑Fri Mar 29, 2024 3:49 pmSince when was “interregnum” a word in the English language?
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/interregnum
1
1
Mike Farce wrote: ↑Fri Mar 29, 2024 4:12 pmSince whenever they started using it.Chroy Changvarite wrote: ↑Fri Mar 29, 2024 3:49 pmSince when was “interregnum” a word in the English language?
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/interregnum
About 440 years:Chroy Changvarite wrote: ↑Fri Mar 29, 2024 3:49 pm
Since when was “interregnum” a word in the English language?
(circa) 1580s, from Latin interregnum "an interval between two reigns," literally "between-reign," from inter "between" (see inter-) + regnum "kingship, dominion, rule, realm," related to regere "to rule, to direct, keep straight, guide" (from PIE root *reg- "move in a straight line," with derivatives meaning "to direct in a straight line," thus "to lead, rule"). In the republic, it meant a vacancy in the consulate.
The earlier English noun was interreign (1530s), from French interrègne (14c.).
https://www.etymonline.com/search?q=interregnum
1
1
Massive stalker
Chroy Changvarite wrote: ↑Fri Mar 29, 2024 3:49 pmSince when was “interregnum” a word in the English language?Vespasian wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 12:34 pmGramsci never actually said that - it’s a misinterpretation of a bad translation into French from his original Italian.
He said:
“La crisi consiste appunto nel fatto che il vecchio muore e il nuovo non può nascere: in questo interregno si verificano i fenomeni morbosi piú svariati.”
The best translation directly to English would be:
“The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear.”
You’re wasting your time fella. There is no need to continually display your ignorance so directly. We are well aware of it without you pointing it out.
-
- Similar Topics
- Replies
- Views
- Last post
-
-
Argue about Ukraine/NATO/NWO etc
by Hot_Pink_Urinal_Mint » Wed Feb 08, 2023 12:24 pm » in 'Not' Cambodia - 133 Replies
- 23079 Views
-
Last post by zippitydoodah
Tue Apr 23, 2024 5:39 am
-
-
-
2024, Cambodian Deminers in Ukraine
by Guest9999 » Thu May 19, 2022 10:27 pm » in Cambodia Speakeasy - 4 Replies
- 3123 Views
-
Last post by guest9
Sun May 22, 2022 12:04 pm
-
-
-
Bali and Indo plan to revoke visas for Ukraine and Russian tourists.
by YaTingPom » Thu Mar 16, 2023 6:37 pm » in 'Not' Cambodia - 2 Replies
- 2085 Views
-
Last post by YaTingPom
Thu Mar 16, 2023 8:30 pm
-