by v12 » Sat Apr 24, 2021 8:26 pm
trollkotze wrote: ↑Sat Apr 24, 2021 7:49 pm
I really am not looking forward to going back now.
One week ago I was desperate to get away from here.
Now my AC is working again.
Now I've got the ticket, got the test result. My parents are urging me to come back amidst the Covid panic.
And that's actually what prompts me most to think that it would be so much less stressful to just stay here. I think the Covid restrictions in Germany will be much more annoying and long-lasting.
Yes and no. Depending on where you live in Germany, risks are still pretty relaxed. Angela got her "be the boss" law and now can lock down everywhere, though several states are still low risk. Though, with these lock-downs, you are still allowed to get food, etc.
On the other hand, I give it 100% chance, that Phnom Penh will continue the lock-down for another 2+2 weeks and I would not be surprised, when this would become 2+2+2+2+2 at the minimum. And I also give it a >50% chance that there will be more overnight Red Zones instated, maybe even at the end of the upcoming week.
Given the recent explosion of positive cases, the death rate will go up too (lags roughly 2-3 weeks behind the Covid-19 infection). Currently topping at 10 for today, though that could go easily into the 30 to 50 a day. A situation, which may create another government panic, with more lock-downs (Western countries already learned, the lock-down effects take 1-2 weeks to become a little visible).
The good thing though is, the exponential growth seems to have stopped. The next couple of days probably several days with high figures, due to the 100% test coverage in the Red Zones, though let us hope, that'll be the peak.
So, going to Germany might be less stress-full than staying in Phnom Penh
Just take care to do the 1.5m social distancing, that'll be your best protection during travel.
[quote=trollkotze post_id=1030489 time=1619268567 user_id=54685]
I really am not looking forward to going back now.
One week ago I was desperate to get away from here.
Now my AC is working again.
Now I've got the ticket, got the test result. My parents are urging me to come back amidst the Covid panic.
And that's actually what prompts me most to think that it would be so much less stressful to just stay here. I think the Covid restrictions in Germany will be much more annoying and long-lasting.
[/quote]
Yes and no. Depending on where you live in Germany, risks are still pretty relaxed. Angela got her "be the boss" law and now can lock down everywhere, though several states are still low risk. Though, with these lock-downs, you are still allowed to get food, etc.
On the other hand, I give it 100% chance, that Phnom Penh will continue the lock-down for another 2+2 weeks and I would not be surprised, when this would become 2+2+2+2+2 at the minimum. And I also give it a >50% chance that there will be more overnight Red Zones instated, maybe even at the end of the upcoming week.
Given the recent explosion of positive cases, the death rate will go up too (lags roughly 2-3 weeks behind the Covid-19 infection). Currently topping at 10 for today, though that could go easily into the 30 to 50 a day. A situation, which may create another government panic, with more lock-downs (Western countries already learned, the lock-down effects take 1-2 weeks to become a little visible).
The good thing though is, the exponential growth seems to have stopped. The next couple of days probably several days with high figures, due to the 100% test coverage in the Red Zones, though let us hope, that'll be the peak.
So, going to Germany might be less stress-full than staying in Phnom Penh ;)
Just take care to do the 1.5m social distancing, that'll be your best protection during travel.