Tracking the confirmed cases in any country is not going to give you an accurate picture, nor is it very useful even if it did. The number to track is the day on day percentage increase as infectious disease outbreaks are all about the R0, which is the average number of people each individual carrie...

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https://cne.wtf/2020/03/30/barred-chengdu-flight-passengers-allowed-to-leave/ I think this article sheds a little more light on a possible reason. As Cambodia is one of the few countries that has continued to allow flights in and out of China, it's been used as a transit point from around the globe...

Okay time for a bit more data analysis, as that's my idea of fun. Don't read this if you go to sleep quickly. I've been using this map a lot, as the data is up to date and it offers temporal data by country and region. https://hgis.uw.edu/virus/ The global data is now starting to show some interesti...

I haven't watched Airplane in far too long....!

In a report yesterday, Cambodia was used as an example of a country that will not fare well if there is an outbreak there. The concerns are the health system is inadequate to cope. The RO will differ from country to country, depending on their health system infrastructure., The projected mortality ...

Of course the virus can still be passed in hot/humid conditions, the question is how effectively? In Wuhan the viral coefficient (R0) has been stated as 2.2. This means that on average every new infection 2.2 will follow, this obviously results in exponential growth curve (in software we say "going ...

I think you are missing the point of the exercise, this is about personal risk, not collective risk or global impact. And what it's saying is that even if you were in the worst possible spot on earth, on day zero, in relation to this outbreak, and even if it got 10 times worse there, statistically s...

Very well put, sir. So, why are the media frightening everybody out of their wits with it? I have my own ideas, but it would be interesting to know what others think. The media are also very big users of analytics, and you can guarantee that if you keep clicking and watching, they will keep produci...

I think we can all agree this is bad and that we feel sorry for everyone effected. But the hysteria now seems to have reached the point where people are scared for their own personal safety, so I thought I would do some "back of a fag packet" maths to put things back in perspective. I do a lot of wo...

Where's Wally?

If you are following the letter of the law: Your invoice to the contractor will not contain VAT, as you are not a Cambodian company. As the invoice does not have VAT included, the contractor will have to pay withholding tax on the value of the invoice. The supplier should include VAT in their invoic...

When the dust has settled, the most extraordinary element of the election will be how former Mining/Steel towns replaced the party that has represented the worker's movement for 100 years with the party that spent the last 3 decades destroying it, Fuck the NHS Fuck public services Fuck the EU Fuck ...

How is the UK treating its citizens comparatively worse on many things than many other EU countries? Give a specific example together with the countries involve - not taking into account the voices of hundreds of thousands Brit expats in the EU in the first place in the initial referendum - hijacki...

And all the brexiters complain “but you have to follow the vote/democracy!” LOL, I think the Brexiteers have been saying all along that the result of the vote should be respected and not overridden by parliamentary manipulation or the use of seldom enacted parliamentary laws and procedures, which t...