But what is interesting is that the opinion's author is Chheang Vannarith, who may be the former executive director and now a research fellow of the Cambodian Institute for Cooperation and Peace, which has connections with the government. However, there is no description note about the author, and I know that there is a journalist around who has the same name. But if it comes from a CICP's researcher, that's pretty interesting.
http://www.khmertimeskh.com/news/29754/ ... -endgame-/
Selected key parts:
Cambodia’s future hangs in the balance. It is bound for political instability unless there is a quick political breakthrough based on win-win strategy.
Genuine political will to find a political settlement is critical at this stage.
After more than one year of political tension and bashing each other, the two main political parties – the ruling Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) and the opposition Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP) – are at a crossroads, and they have to choose either to talk or to use force and protests.
It is very likely there would be a political endgame in which both parties would play their last cards. However, this will be lose-lose scenario and no one will emerge victorious.
A cycle of political revenge and violence will continue to haunt Cambodia.
The CNRP is left with only one last card, which is to hold a series of mass demonstrations, a similar strategy to the one it used after the general elections in 2013 to bargain for power.
[...]
The CPP is aware of the strengths, weaknesses and next moves of the CNRP. In response to the planned demonstration, Prime Minister Hun Sen has clearly and firmly urged the armed forces to curb and suppress street protests or any actions that potentially disturb public order and security.
Preemptive strikes have been applied by the CPP as its optimal strategy to prevent the protests from developing into large-scale people movements or revolution. Early intervention and preventive measures will be exercised.
The government is going to use all necessary measures and means, including force, to maintain the status quo in its own favor. The CPP will continue to apply its divide and conquer strategy to weaken its opponent.
[...]
Cambodia is at a critical juncture. Any political endgame will likely put Cambodia into a renewed state of high risks and uncertainties.
Only responsible political leadership and a win-win strategy can save Cambodia from political instability and turmoil.
It may be wishful thinking, but all political parties should put national interests above all else.
Cambodians have suffered enough. The young generation has big dreams. The most important role of the political leaders is to generate opportunities for everyone to realize his or her dreams and potential.