Interesting article in The Atlantic. (Perhaps someone else can do the link?) It doesn't mention the good outcomes so far in Cambodia, but does talk about the outsize roll luck plays with this virus. She doesn't talk about Ro calculations, but points out that knowing it isn't very useful anyway, because the average case of Covid-19 is less important than some particular cases.
A bit long, explaining and building to these last two paragraphs.
"It’s not always the restrictiveness of the rules, but whether they target the right dangers. As Morris put it, “Japan’s commitment to ‘cluster-busting’ allowed it to achieve impressive mitigation with judiciously chosen restrictions. Countries that have ignored super-spreading have risked getting the worst of both worlds: burdensome restrictions that fail to achieve substantial mitigation. The U.K.’s recent decision to limit outdoor gatherings to six people while allowing pubs and bars to remain open is just one of many such examples.”
Could we get back to a much more normal life by focusing on limiting the conditions for super-spreading events, aggressively engaging in cluster-busting, and deploying cheap, rapid mass tests—that is, once we get our case numbers down to low enough numbers to carry out such a strategy? (Many places with low community transmission could start immediately.) Once we look for and see the forest, it becomes easier to find our way out."
This Overlooked Variable Is the Key to the Pandemic: The Atlantic
-
- Similar Topics
- Replies
- Views
- Last post
-
- 42 Replies
- 5232 Views
-
Last post by Cam.O'Dear
Sat Mar 20, 2021 5:09 am