Simply not true. I’ve always been scathing of this bollocks. You know because pretty much everything passes you by
New coronavirus spreading rapidly.
Simply not true. I’ve always been scathing of this bollocks. You know because pretty much everything passes you by
- Stokely
- Least Likely to be a Moderator, ever !
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- Joined: Sun Feb 03, 2019 10:19 am
Its no coincidence that everyone now knows what Coronavirus is since it went viral.
"Now, then, in order to understand white supremacy we must dismiss the notion that white people can give anybody their freedom." Stokely Carmichael
- John.Sweden
- I live above an internet cafe
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- Joined: Tue Mar 24, 2015 4:48 pm
- Location: stuck in Europe
A Danish expat blames Sam Rainsy:
If it is a dying virus, why is Wuhan so infected?
There is something called "super spreaders". It is people who somehow spread the disease at a higher rate than normal. So the disease could have been picked up from Sam Rainsy in France and then brought to Wuhan by a person who was a super-spreader.
Don't blame animals for all human suffering. Blame Sam Rainsy.
No white man hides himself in the wilderness without a reason
- Starving Pelican
- I am a Special Snowflake !!?!
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- Joined: Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:21 pm
- Location: Cat Food Paradise
Thinking about what 440ers believe about the origins/source of the virus has made me realise what a diverse group of thinkers we have here:
- Hot Pink Urinal Mint: "it's the US government, part of the cold war plot"
- Vladimir: "it's the Jews"
- Stokely: "it's whatever I can make a cheesy dad joke about"
- Starkmonster: "it's the lizard people, in cahoots with Soros"
- Kungfufighter: "it's the UK conservatives"
- Scoffer: "what's a virus?"
- Dallow Spicer: "twats, it's the most obvious reason, which is always the correct one"
- Felgerkarb: "I created it, by harnessing the force of my own personality and biceps"
- Hot Pink Urinal Mint: "it's the US government, part of the cold war plot"
- Vladimir: "it's the Jews"
- Stokely: "it's whatever I can make a cheesy dad joke about"
- Starkmonster: "it's the lizard people, in cahoots with Soros"
- Kungfufighter: "it's the UK conservatives"
- Scoffer: "what's a virus?"
- Dallow Spicer: "twats, it's the most obvious reason, which is always the correct one"
- Felgerkarb: "I created it, by harnessing the force of my own personality and biceps"
- spitthedog
- Is the World Outside still there ?
- Reactions: 123
- Posts: 5715
- Joined: Mon Feb 17, 2014 10:19 pm
People are too busy looking at Mexit. Will the country survive without them?
"I don't care what the people are thinking, i ain't drunk i'm just drinking"
- Felgerkarb
- Sir Felgerkarb, Kt Pb
- Reactions: 240
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- Joined: Mon Jun 18, 2007 3:22 am
- Location: Castle Felgerkarb, Felgerkarbia (Formerly Preah Vihear)
- Contact:
Bwhahaha!Starving Pelican wrote:Thinking about what 440ers believe about the origins/source of the virus has made me realise what a diverse group of thinkers we have here:
- Hot Pink Urinal Mint: "it's the US government, part of the cold war plot"
- Vladimir: "it's the Jews"
- Stokely: "it's whatever I can make a cheesy dad joke about"
- Starkmonster: "it's the lizard people, in cahoots with Soros"
- Kungfufighter: "it's the UK conservatives"
- Scoffer: "what's a virus?"
- Dallow Spicer: "twats, it's the most obvious reason, which is always the correct one"
- Felgerkarb: "I created it, by harnessing the force of my own personality and biceps"
Age quod agis.
====================
Why are the gods such vicious cunts?
Where is the god of tits and wine?
Why are the gods such vicious cunts?
Where is the god of tits and wine?
- Bong Burgundy
- A Moment of Clarity
- Reactions: 281
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- Joined: Sun Oct 29, 2017 12:20 pm
- Location: K440 Channel 4 News
The doctor who warned colleagues about the virus, and was taken away for spreading fake news has died.
Bringing the news. You stay classy, nas, Cambodia.
Half of secondary virus infections occur in incubation period: study
https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2020 ... study.html
https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2020 ... study.html
- Bong Burgundy
- A Moment of Clarity
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- Joined: Sun Oct 29, 2017 12:20 pm
- Location: K440 Channel 4 News
First American citizen dies.
A United States citizen has died from the new coronavirus in Wuhan, China, in what appeared to be the first death of an American from the outbreak.
Few details about the American, who died on Thursday, were immediately available. The person was around 60 years old, according to the United States Embassy in Beijing. Two people familiar with the matter said the person was a woman and had underlying health conditions.
“We offer our sincerest condolences to the family on their loss,” said a spokesman for the embassy. “Out of respect for the family’s privacy, we have no further comment.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/08/worl ... artner=rss
A United States citizen has died from the new coronavirus in Wuhan, China, in what appeared to be the first death of an American from the outbreak.
Few details about the American, who died on Thursday, were immediately available. The person was around 60 years old, according to the United States Embassy in Beijing. Two people familiar with the matter said the person was a woman and had underlying health conditions.
“We offer our sincerest condolences to the family on their loss,” said a spokesman for the embassy. “Out of respect for the family’s privacy, we have no further comment.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/08/worl ... artner=rss
Bringing the news. You stay classy, nas, Cambodia.
- newnewnewbie
- I drive a Lada
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- Joined: Tue May 01, 2018 6:40 am
I think racism shows it face bit more, behind those masks, these days.
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- MerkinMaker
- Reactions: 62
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- Joined: Wed Mar 21, 2012 11:04 am
I think we can all agree this is bad and that we feel sorry for everyone effected. But the hysteria now seems to have reached the point where people are scared for their own personal safety, so I thought I would do some "back of a fag packet" maths to put things back in perspective.
I do a lot of work with analytics and know that we humans are very good at detecting risk, but are very poor at quantifying it and prone to overreaction.
A cool trick from CBT (cognitive behavioural therapy) that's also used used in business is to define a "worst case scenario" that fits with the current available data and work out the probabilities for that worst case scenario in order to put things in perspective. So let's try that here.
My hypothetical scenario worst case scenario is this: I/you/we were in the city of Wuhan (the epicentre) at the beginning of the outbreak and couldn't leave.
Some basic rules. It's worst case scenario, so we always round in the negative direction and any numbers that are yet unknown we will 10x (multiply by ten).
So as of today these are the numbers:
Wuhan population: 10,000,000 (round down)
Wuhan infections: 35,000 (round up)
Wuhan deaths: 750 (round up)
What will the final numbers for Wuhan be?
Infections: 350,000 (10x)
Deaths: 7,500 (10x)
So now let's break those numbers down as probabilities:
Chance of becoming infected in worst case Wuhan type setting:
3.5%
Chance of death:
0.075% (that's fewer than 1 in 10,000)
Side note: It has also been reported that 75% of all deaths are patients over 65 or with preexisting chronic conditions. So if you don't fall into either of those two groups your chance of death is reduced well below 1 in 20,000.
So now we have this information, we can feed it to our lizard brain and think about what are the chances of something similar to that worst case scenario actually coming into existence for us? 1 in 3, 1 in 10, 1 in 20?
Whatever number you pick, it's going to be a multiplier on that already low 1 in 10,000.
It's a concern, and it's a tragedy. But statistically speaking, I doubt it even makes it into the top 10 current risk factors for your average K440 reader.
I do a lot of work with analytics and know that we humans are very good at detecting risk, but are very poor at quantifying it and prone to overreaction.
A cool trick from CBT (cognitive behavioural therapy) that's also used used in business is to define a "worst case scenario" that fits with the current available data and work out the probabilities for that worst case scenario in order to put things in perspective. So let's try that here.
My hypothetical scenario worst case scenario is this: I/you/we were in the city of Wuhan (the epicentre) at the beginning of the outbreak and couldn't leave.
Some basic rules. It's worst case scenario, so we always round in the negative direction and any numbers that are yet unknown we will 10x (multiply by ten).
So as of today these are the numbers:
Wuhan population: 10,000,000 (round down)
Wuhan infections: 35,000 (round up)
Wuhan deaths: 750 (round up)
What will the final numbers for Wuhan be?
Infections: 350,000 (10x)
Deaths: 7,500 (10x)
So now let's break those numbers down as probabilities:
Chance of becoming infected in worst case Wuhan type setting:
3.5%
Chance of death:
0.075% (that's fewer than 1 in 10,000)
Side note: It has also been reported that 75% of all deaths are patients over 65 or with preexisting chronic conditions. So if you don't fall into either of those two groups your chance of death is reduced well below 1 in 20,000.
So now we have this information, we can feed it to our lizard brain and think about what are the chances of something similar to that worst case scenario actually coming into existence for us? 1 in 3, 1 in 10, 1 in 20?
Whatever number you pick, it's going to be a multiplier on that already low 1 in 10,000.
It's a concern, and it's a tragedy. But statistically speaking, I doubt it even makes it into the top 10 current risk factors for your average K440 reader.
- Dahon
- I live above an internet cafe
- Reactions: 2
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- Joined: Sun Oct 23, 2016 4:09 pm
- Location: Shanghai, China
Yes, I agree. And they tell us masks don't help but everyone working in rescue wears either masks or hazmat suits.starkmonster wrote: ↑Sat Feb 08, 2020 5:35 pmI think we can all agree this is bad and that we feel sorry for everyone effected. But the hysteria now seems to have reached the point where people are scared for their own personal safety, so I thought I would do some "back of a fag packet" maths to put things back in perspective.
I do a lot of work with analytics and know that we humans are very good at detecting risk, but are very poor at quantifying it and prone to overreaction.
A cool trick from CBT (cognitive behavioural therapy) that's also used used in business is to define a "worst case scenario" that fits with the current available data and work out the probabilities for that worst case scenario in order to put things in perspective. So let's try that here.
My hypothetical scenario worst case scenario is this: I/you/we were in the city of Wuhan (the epicentre) at the beginning of the outbreak and couldn't leave.
Some basic rules. It's worst case scenario, so we always round in the negative direction and any numbers that are yet unknown we will 10x (multiply by ten).
So as of today these are the numbers:
Wuhan population: 10,000,000 (round down)
Wuhan infections: 35,000 (round up)
Wuhan deaths: 750 (round up)
What will the final numbers for Wuhan be?
Infections: 350,000 (10x)
Deaths: 7,500 (10x)
So now let's break those numbers down as probabilities:
Chance of becoming infected in worst case Wuhan type setting:
3.5%
Chance of death:
0.075% (that's fewer than 1 in 10,000)
Side note: It has also been reported that 75% of all deaths are patients over 65 or with preexisting chronic conditions. So if you don't fall into either of those two groups your chance of death is reduced well below 1 in 20,000.
So now we have this information, we can feed it to our lizard brain and think about what are the chances of something similar to that worst case scenario actually coming into existence for us? 1 in 3, 1 in 10, 1 in 20?
Whatever number you pick, it's going to be a multiplier on that already low 1 in 10,000.
It's a concern, and it's a tragedy. But statistically speaking, I doubt it even makes it into the top 10 current risk factors for your average K440 reader.
And the yanks are hysterical. Yearly flu kills hundreds of thousands and handguns tens of thousands (flu control NOW) so what is it they're not telling us?
Why not remove all quarantine and let people go back to work since very few will die anyway?
There is definitely something hidden here, 35k cases and a few hundred dead don't motivate this kind of hysteria since the normal flu is not better. Is this a bioweapon that is designed to infect everyone due to a long incubation period and the 35k cases we have now are just outliers and the real explosion will come in a month with China being depopulated?
Or are we victims of the largest hysteria epidemic in the millennium?
Cambodia - tickets booked, moved on to mission planning DONE
Mission completed, reported to Col Braddock. DONE
Now ranting about the experience ONGOING
Mission completed, reported to Col Braddock. DONE
Now ranting about the experience ONGOING
“The Chinese government has issued new regulations to severely punish people who disrupt the epidemic control work. Those who violate the rules will be subject to speedy arrests and sentences, and even the death penalty.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/02/08/asia ... index.html
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/02/08/asia ... index.html
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- OneTrickPony
- Reactions: 64
- Posts: 1640
- Joined: Tue Aug 20, 2019 12:48 pm
Very well put, sir. So, why are the media frightening everybody out of their wits with it? I have my own ideas, but it would be interesting to know what others think.starkmonster wrote: ↑Sat Feb 08, 2020 5:35 pmI think we can all agree this is bad and that we feel sorry for everyone effected. But the hysteria now seems to have reached the point where people are scared for their own personal safety, so I thought I would do some "back of a fag packet" maths to put things back in perspective.
I do a lot of work with analytics and know that we humans are very good at detecting risk, but are very poor at quantifying it and prone to overreaction.
A cool trick from CBT (cognitive behavioural therapy) that's also used used in business is to define a "worst case scenario" that fits with the current available data and work out the probabilities for that worst case scenario in order to put things in perspective. So let's try that here.
My hypothetical scenario worst case scenario is this: I/you/we were in the city of Wuhan (the epicentre) at the beginning of the outbreak and couldn't leave.
Some basic rules. It's worst case scenario, so we always round in the negative direction and any numbers that are yet unknown we will 10x (multiply by ten).
So as of today these are the numbers:
Wuhan population: 10,000,000 (round down)
Wuhan infections: 35,000 (round up)
Wuhan deaths: 750 (round up)
What will the final numbers for Wuhan be?
Infections: 350,000 (10x)
Deaths: 7,500 (10x)
So now let's break those numbers down as probabilities:
Chance of becoming infected in worst case Wuhan type setting:
3.5%
Chance of death:
0.075% (that's fewer than 1 in 10,000)
Side note: It has also been reported that 75% of all deaths are patients over 65 or with preexisting chronic conditions. So if you don't fall into either of those two groups your chance of death is reduced well below 1 in 20,000.
So now we have this information, we can feed it to our lizard brain and think about what are the chances of something similar to that worst case scenario actually coming into existence for us? 1 in 3, 1 in 10, 1 in 20?
Whatever number you pick, it's going to be a multiplier on that already low 1 in 10,000.
It's a concern, and it's a tragedy. But statistically speaking, I doubt it even makes it into the top 10 current risk factors for your average K440 reader.
Up the workers!
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